Posted by: sweeneyblog | April 13, 2009

Candidates for President 2012: Part One

Bored of Obama solving problems? Pirates on the high seas not providing the political zip it used to? Suffering from Presidential Politics withdrawl? Have no fear! I have put together a list of the potential candidates for president in 2012 so you can begin to watch them veeeeery closely. I have organized them by likelihood of running.

Democratic Nomination

From Presidential Candidates

Barack Obama, President of the USA

Reasons he is running: Provided he doesn’t screw things up entirely he is the nominee. End of discussion

On the other hand: Sorry guys, no other hand here. He’s running.

From Presidential Candidates

Brian Schweitzer, Governor of Montana

Reasons he is running: He isn’t, but if things really tank, he might be tapped to run. He is definitely running in 2016. He’s smart, sharp as a whip and a blue governor of a red state. Not an easy task.

On the other hand: He’s not going to run till 2016. Trust me.

Republican Nomination
This post I will do the Republican Governors. Next post I will do the other possibilities.

From Presidential Candidates

Mark Sanford, Governor of South Carolina

Reasons he is running: He has been making the loudest fuss about rejecting the stimulus money, going on tons of talk shows to explain his principled conservative stance against socialism. He is heavily religious, and more than a little friendly with big business. But more importantly, he is relatively unknown at a time when it is toxic to be associated with republicans.

On the other hand: He is up for re-election in 2010. He might choose to govern out his whole term, but I doubt it. He’s running.

From Presidential Candidates

General David Petraeus, Commander of Forces in Iraq

Reasons he is running: He is a hardcore republican, and has alot of respect and credence with the media. With Obama removing the troop brigades in 2011, he could say the President was “cutting and running”. The Republican base would love serving on “the general’s” campaign and it would be easy to criticize Democrats as “anti-troop” if the Dem’s are criticizing a former general (he would have to resign to run for President). Also, he has scheduled a talking tour in Iowa and New Hampshire. Those are kindof dead givaways. Why else would anyone go to Iowa? Seriously.

On the other hand: He is sitting military, which means he cannot make any overt political action till he resigns, and he won’t do that till closer to the election, so he can get maximum media coverage. It limits his fundraising time. But I think he’s running

From Presidential Candidates

Bobby Jindal, Governor of Louisiana

Reasons he is running: He is considered an up and comer with the party. He has publicly and loudly rejected the Stimulus money. He is considered a competent and effective governor (a rarity among republican governors) and can speak in complete sentences. He is one of the only Republicans I have ever heard my dad speak highly of, mainly for his work cleaning up after Katrina.

On the other hand: He has to run for re-election in 2011 which gives him almost ZERO time to run for president. So would have to give up his governorship to run. Second, his first big prime-time speech (a response to Obama’s State of the Union) fell incredibly flat and was universally ridiculed.

From Presidential Candidates

Sarah Palin, Governor of Alaska

Reasons she is running: She’s crazy. She is a media rockstar/obsession and will generate press with the slightest comment. She motivates the republican base like no tomorrow. I think she will definitely run. She has convinced herself she is a major player and will go for it.

On the other hand: She will make it into the primaries but I think by the time the dust is settled, the GOP will go with someone that doesn’t help Tina Fey’s career.

From Presidential Candidates

Charlie Crist, Governor of Florida

Reasons he is running: He is the face of Moderate conservatism. He has held townhalls with Obama, praised the Stimulus and urged Republicans to be problem solvers rather than roadblocks. He is well-liked in the gigantic swing state of Florida and has some significant fundraising skills.

On the other hand: There are some serious rumors that won’t go away that Charlie Crist is gay. I don’t mean this as an insult, but if is true, he is doomed. The GOP is not gender flexible.

From Presidential Candidates

Jon Huntsman Jr, Governor of Utah

Reasons he is running: Wishing you had Mitt Romney to kick around? Meet Mitt Romeney 2.0. The Mormon governor of Utah, who actually supports Civil Unions. Go figure. He is an effective fiscal conservative and unlike Mitt Romney, is quite charming.

On the other hand: He is up for re-election in 2012, so the timing is good. He can announce his bid for President and leave the Governorship to someone else. He accepted the Stimulus money and hasn’t really made any waves or headlines. Bad news if you want people to know who you are.

In a couple of days I will profile the rest of the candidates. But this is a good start.


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